Tuesday, October 29, 2013

October Goes Out With A Bang

Good morning.  The big storm system that I have talked about for a while is on its way.  This storm will bring heavy rain, wind, and some strong to severe thunderstorms to parts of the area.

The good news is that today is not looking too bad.  Clouds will thicken through the day, but any rain should hold off until this evening, mainly after sunset.  You can track the rain on the "radars" tab at the top of the page.  Temperatures will warm near 60.  

Temperatures will really warm up for tomorrow as the wind flow ahead of the storm system pumps in warm, moist air.  Highs tomorrow will warm up near 70, but we will dodge some showers and storms from time to time.  It will not be a washout though.  

The real action arrives on Thursday as the strong storm system drags a cold front into the state.



Here is a quick breakdown:

-Widespread rain and thunderstorms will move in throughout the day Thursday and into Thursday night.

-Heavy rain amounts of 1"-2" will be likely state-wide.

-Lots of wind energy across the area.  Outside of thunderstorms, wind gusts of 30-40 mph will be possible through the day.

-Line of severe storms possible in the afternoon Thursday, into the early evening.  

The best chances for severe thunderstorms will lie across southern Indiana, where moisture and instability will be greatest.  Damaging winds, large hail, and 1 or two tornadoes can't be ruled out.  This is not a major severe weather outbreak, but certainly something to really keep an eye on.  Here is the SPC outlook for Thursday:







At this time, trick-or-treating weather looks to be windy, rainy, and stormy.  I would imagine that most locations will move trick-or-treating to either tomorrow or Friday.  The best weather conditions will be Friday, as it should be completely dry.    



I will have more updates on my Facebook page.  Have a great day, take care.  

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

November-Like Temps - Snow Flurries - Warmer Weekend

Cold and frosty morning!! Temperatures dropped in the 20's and 30's area wide, with the first frost and freezes of the season.  Get used to it! There's more where that came from. The weather pattern over the next several days will be one more typical of late November!   

Sunny skies this morning will give way to cloudy skies this afternoon, and showers toward the evening.  Areas that see the clouds move in first may not get out of the 40's, and areas with more sun should reach the 50's. 

For tonight, there will be scattered showers around as a weak clipper system moves through.  After midnight, snow will mix in, especially north of Indianapolis. Those areas could actually see a few hours of snow flurries falling, but there will not be any accumulation.  



A lingering snow flurry or sprinkle is possible tomorrow. Highs tomorrow will only reach the middle 40's.  To give you an idea of how below normal this is, the average LOW temperature this time of year is in the middle 40's.  


Another weak system similar to the one tonight will move in late Wednesday night into Thursday.  A few snow/rain showers are possible. High temperatures on Thursday will once again be in the middle 40's.  

Lots of sunshine will return for Friday after starting off in the 20's.  Everyone should see a hard, killing freeze to end the growing season.  

The weekend as of now looks pretty good.  Sunshine in the forecast both days, with cold mornings and milder afternoons. A weak cold front may knock off our temps a few degrees from Saturday's, but high temperatures for most areas will be in the 50's both days.  Fall color should finally reach peak, so it will be a GREAT weekend to head outside to check out the great colors before they are gone! 

Right now, temperatures look to rebound in the 50's and 60's early next week.  The warm up however looks to be short-lived.

I will have another update tomorrow.  Have a great day!  

Saturday, October 12, 2013

Big Changes Coming!

Hello everyone!  Sorry I haven't been keeping the blog updated.  College is keeping me pretty busy, and I don't have a lot of extra time on my hands.  I will continue to post when I can. You can still find frequent weather updates on my Facebook weather page.  https://www.facebook.com/Nathanwx

The weather has been about as good as it gets over the past week, and we have two days left of this marvelous weather!  Sunny skies with highs in the lower 70's, and morning lows in the 40's will be the norm.  My advice: soak it up!!! If you are not ready for the weather to change, do not read any further. :)  You have been warned.   


The changes start to arrive Tuesday.  Clouds will be on the increase as showers start to move in later in the day, then rain will remain in the forecast through the day on Wednesday, with perhaps a lingering shower or two into Thursday as well.

You will notice a huge change in the temperatures during this time.  Highs will go from the 70's Tuesday to the 60's Wednesday, then struggle to get out of the 50's in areas Thursday and Friday!  This is just one of two chilly air masses I am watching over the next 10 days.  



Next weekend, it appears a stronger blast of chilly air arrives, mainly for Sunday the 20th.  Highs may go from the 60's next Saturday, then struggle to get out of the 40's in spots by next Sunday. Low temps could fall to near freezing by the morning of the 21st - ASSUMING the models are correct.  Please keep in mind the models are consistently changing on how extreme this blast of chilly air will be.  The models may be too aggressive on the cold, and I think they will back off a bit as we get closer. I do however think it is looking like a good threat of our first area-wide frost or even light freeze between the 19-21.  Stay tuned!