ACTIVE PATTERN IS GOING NOWHERE!

Good evening. Wow, this pattern has been very active over the past week. Some areas picked up almost two month's worth of rain in these past 7 days alone, and there is yet more rain to come. I know the farmers are loving all this rain, but in some locations the rain has been too much, actually flooding the fields and washing out some of the crops. 

This is such a drastic change from this same time last year. Most days from now through a good part of July had highs ranging from the middle 90's to low 100's each day along with little to no rain. Over the next few days, our temperatures will struggle to even get out of the 70's!

Along with the cooler temps, rain and some thunderstorms

will remain in the forecast, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours, with peak daytime heating. I do not expect a washout any day, but numerous thunderstorms could impact any outdoor plans. Rainfall amounts will vary from place to place due to the scattered variety of the storms, but an overall .75"-1" is likely, with some areas getting as much as 2" in the heavier bands that set up. To be as specific as I can, it looks like the highest chances for the shower and thunderstorm activity will be tomorrow and Tuesday, then lower coverage Wednesday-Friday. Highs will struggle to get out of the 70's for the first part of the week, but should reach 80+ mid-week and after due to slightly more sun and more dry hours expected. To the top right is the WPC precipitation accumulation through Wednesday.

Right now, the outlook for the 4th includes a risk for isolated afternoon storms, otherwise partly sunny with highs in the low/mid 80's. 




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(6/16) Your Week Ahead Outlook!

Good evening everyone.  Hope you all had a great weekend and Father's Day! Here's what to expect throughout the week ahead. The best chances of rain for the work week will be later tomorrow through tomorrow night, with a lingering isolated chance Tuesday. There will be lots of dry weather this week, with no rain in the forecast Wednesday-Friday, with slightly more pleasant air on Wednesday, before the humidity starts to creep up again as we head towards next weekend. Next weekend looks quite hot & humid, with some storm chances.

(6/11) Heat & Severe Storms

Quiet weather for today, with sunshine around and temperatures heating up! Expect highs to reach the middle to upper 80's in many areas later today. Good day to hit up the pools, just apply the sunscreen - you will need it!

Storm chances could arrive as soon as tonight, depending on your location. Any storms tonight should stay north of I-70, and they will be isolated. It will be a very warm and muggy night, with low temps only falling near 70.

For tomorrow, it will be a battle between very hot temperatures and storms. From Indy northward, there will be a chance of thunderstorms by tomorrow afternoon, with some possibly severe. Areas south will stay dry and hot. Highs tomorrow should reach the middle 90s in southern Indiana, near 90 central, and cooler middle/upper 80's north due to more clouds and storm activity. 

By tomorrow night, everybody will have a good chance of thunderstorms. This could be in the form of a derecho, aka storms producing damaging winds. The highest chances of getting severe weather will be north of I-70, but just about everybody will have at least a chance of severe thunderstorms. Could be a noisy, busy night tomorrow night, so be sure to check back for the latest updates! 

Also, parts of the state are going to get very heavy rain

between now and Thursday. Areas north of I-70 could see 1-2" of rain, with perhaps 3"+ in parts of northeastern Indiana. Rain totals south of I-70 should be lighter. However, that could change depending on the actual track of the storm complex tomorrow night. 

Some Severe Storms Late Tomorrow?

Today's weather turned out pretty good, with temperatures right around where they should be for June, along with dry weather. Now everyone is asking, will this nice weather stick around for Sunday?

Well, for the most part. All eyes will be on a low pressure system

and an associated cold front to our west. The weather through about mid-afternoon looks good for most areas, with partial sunshine and temperatures warming up quickly towards the lower 80's. By middle afternoon, at first, some scattered thunderstorms in Kentucky could try to push towards southern Indiana. Then, some thunderstorms are possible in the western portion of the state as the system to our west approaches. The SPC has much of the southwest half of Indiana in a slight risk for severe storms tomorrow late afternoon/evening and night. Biggest threats will be high winds and hail. Not looking like a huge deal, but something to watch. 

Much of the state should get yet another healthy amount of rain, an inch of rain is likely for much of the state. Some will of course get more, and some may get less. 

NEXT WEEK OUTLOOK: It looks like a more typical summer pattern will build in. Scattered thunderstorm chances will start to taper off late Monday, and this should pave the way for some hotter weather to build in between Tuesday and Wednesday. Most areas should reach or exceed 80 Tuesday, then highs of 85-90 are likely on Wednesday. Tuesday will be dry, with thunderstorm chances going up later Wednesday into Thursday. This should cool us down several degrees Thursday, before the heat ridge tries to build closer to the Ohio Valley Friday & Saturday. 

I will have more updates tomorrow on my Facebook page. Thanks for stopping by my blog, hope you all have a great rest of the weekend! 

Weekend Outlook

Saturday should be a great day to get outside! Expect high temperatures to top out in the middle to upper 70's with partly cloudy skies. There is about a 10% chance of a stray shower, but basically everyone will stay dry. 

It is Sunday, especially late in the day when we have to watch out for

some changes to roll in. I think we will be dry through the mid afternoon hours with highs warming near 80. Once we get into the evening hours, some storms could start to work their way in from the west. By Sunday night, showers and storms will be likely for everyone. The SPC has the far southwest portion of Indiana under a slight risk for severe storms Sunday night. The main threats appear to be damaging winds and hail. Something to watch. How much rain are we talking about? It looks like parts of the area could get as much as 1" from these storms.