Sunday, May 26, 2013

Memorial Day Storm Chances - Then The Heat Is On!

Just a couple sprinkles on the radar locally right now. Not

too bad out there with a few peeks of sun and current temps warming in the 60's. There is a band of rain/thunder in Illinois, BUT it is weakening as it heads into Indiana. Why? Dry air. Dewpoints in many areas are only in the 40's. If you have plans later this afternoon or anytime this evening, there will be a few scattered showers to dodge, but a good deal of dry weather as well. Just keep an eye on the radar and don't cancel your plans.

              MEMORIAL DAY UPDATE

There is still a chance of a few showers and thunderstorms in the forecast, as the warm front begins to push through the area. The highest threat for rain will be across northern Indiana. Due to the position of the warm front passing through, expect a pretty big range in temperatures. Lower 80's for highs tomorrow in southwest Indiana, while northeast Indiana is stuck in the upper 60's. Let's remember the real reason tomorrow for why we celebrate this holiday, thanks to all the brave soldiers for serving our country! 

           REST OF THE WEEK OUTLOOK
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If you love the summer warmth and humidity, you will LOVE this forecast. Highs will reach the middle to upper 80's Tuesday through next Saturday. There will be a threat for a few storms across the northern part of Indiana Tuesday, otherwise mostly sunny and dry through Friday. A chance of storms may return by next Saturday. Expect some great days to get out to the pools, with lots of sunscreen needed! The Climate Prediction Center's 6 to 10 day outlook demonstrates the strong  likelihood of above average temps in our part of the world! 

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Friday, May 17, 2013

Warmth With Showers & Storms - Latest Thoughts On Weekend Forecast

Good evening. Sorry I haven't posted a blog in a while. Today was my last day of high school, with my college courses starting on August 19th, as I begin my journey to *hopefully* become a meteorologist with a geoscience degree 4 years from right now. 

Over the past week, we have seen much of the country burst into a more typical weather pattern we would expect for this time of the year, (finally) with a HUGE increase
in severe weather numbers, after a unusual spring of very, very little in the way of severe weather. More severe weather expected over the next several days in the Plains, with a very busy weekend ahead. I'm sure plenty of storm chasers even here locally will probably try to travel out there this weekend. Take a look at the severe weather outlooks for this weekend per the SPC:



Now let's focus on our weather. First off today was actually a pretty nice day - until thunderstorms arrived. Some areas saw them hit earlier than others, and right now most of the thunderstorm activity continues across the northern half of the state. This activity gradually diminishes after sunset, but the chance for a few storms around still exists at anytime overnight, albeit a lower chance. Bottom line -- the radar will be your friend this evening. 

Saturday will be another repeat of the weather over the past couple of days. Warm, humid highs near 80, mixed clouds and sun with scattered pop-up storms mainly in the afternoon. Don't cancel outdoor plans, but have a backup plan. Areas that do see a storm could see torrential downpours, lightning, and gusty winds. Severe weather is pretty unlikely. 

Sunday looks basically DRY. A weak ridge will begin to build into the region, allowing confidence for a drier forecast. With a warm and humid air mass, can't completely rule out a stray storm, but count on a good deal of sunshine and warm to hot weather. Highs in the middle 80's likely.

It looks like we start the work week next week on a H-O-T note. The ridge will still help the atmosphere to stay capped for most of the area, with the only exception being some areas in northwest Indiana. Highs could approach the upper 80's, with 90 not out of the question for Monday. If you have already opened up your swimming pool, you are in luck!

Shower and storm chances really go up after that, with an emphasis on Tuesday and Wednesday. There could be some heavy rain totals. Late next week looks to trend drier, and right now, it looks like Memorial Weekend and Indy 500 coming up could be dry with pleasant temps. Let's hope this forecast keeps up. 

Thanks for stopping by the blog. Have a great evening. 

Thursday, April 4, 2013

Spring Pattern Moving In!


Good evening, and thanks for reading today’s edition of your weather blog! One thing for sure, the one thing we haven’t been lacking this week is sunshine. This April sunshine has made the below normal temps much more tolerable. The big-time warm-up I have been talking about for days really starts to kick in tomorrow, and likely lasting for quite a while!
Tomorrow is OPENING DAY at Victory Field. Tomorrow will be a wonderful day of weather with some sun and passing cirrus clouds. We add nearly 10 degrees from today’s high temperature, all thanks to a change in wind direction – from the south! Highs range from 55-60 in most areas. If you’re headed out to the game tomorrow evening, the weather will be great. Grab the jacket and you will be in good shape. Here is your first pitch forecast:
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The nice weather trend continues into Friday. Sunny skies expected for the last day of the work week. A back-door cold front will move into northeastern parts of the state, so this will mean a “slight” cool-down for those areas, only in the 50′s. The southwestern half of the state should make it near 60.
Now to the weekend. Saturday looks ABSOLUTELY GORGEOUS, with the warmest high temp of the entire year so far! I am talking about high temperatures reaching the mid to upper 60′s, in response to a low pressure system northwest of the area. Winds around a low pressure system are counter-clockwise, so you can see the perfect set-up to bring in those very spring-like temps.
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That system brings a front towards the area Saturday night and Sunday, with a chance of some scattered showers. There will be lots of dry hours too along with the mild air hanging on.
Next week looks to stay on the warm side, at least for the first half. A stalled boundary will be stuck right over us, with rounds of heavy rain and thunderstorms. There will be dry hours mixed in each day to still enjoy the spring air, but there could be some pretty impressive rain amounts between Monday and Thursday. 1-3″ appears possible. The return of rain, mild temps, and humidity should REALLY cause the trees to begin to blossom, so be on the look for that as well.
PATTERN EARLY NEXT WEEK
Here’s your 7-day planner.
7 DAY FCAST
Thanks for reading, have a great night.

Monday, April 1, 2013

Afternoon Forecast

The latest look from downtown Indianapolis shows a nice looking day with partly cloudy skies. Mostly sunny skies are expected south of Indy this afternoon, with more clouds to the north. Northeast Indiana may even see a couple of sprinkles or flurries. Highs will hit the 40′s, but the wind will make it feel several degrees colder. I will have an update later today on what to expect over the next several days, which includes a big warm-up. :) Have a great day!

Sunday, March 31, 2013

Outlook Through Second Week Of April


Tonight-Tomorrow:
Scattered showers possible overnight into tomorrow morning. Rain amounts looImagek generally light with most areas around 1/4″, an isolated 1/2″ in the heavier pockets. Easter Sunday afternoon looks nice with mixed clouds and sun, with highs right around where they topped out today. It will become breezy during the day, so it may “feel” a bit cooler. Still not a bad day. :)
ImageSUNDAY NIGHT-MONDAY:
The second front rolls through Sunday night into April Fool’s Day, with a few scattered snow/rain showers. The big story will be the
very cold air that moves back into the area. Highs on Monday will only top out in the range of 38-44. BRRR!
Tuesday-Friday:
Starting on Tuesday, sunny skies return with a warming trend thanks to the higher sun angle this time of year and the trough beginning to lift away from the area. Tuesday will be cold with highs similar to Monday, but 45-50 Wednesday, 53-57 Thursday, and 56-61 Friday. There will be a system tracking south of the area next Thursday/Friday, but how far north it goes is still in question. Right now it looks to remain far enough south to keep things dry here, with just an increase in clouds.
Next Weekend & Beyond:
It looks like TRUE spring weather is going to move in during this time. Highs by next weekend will be in the 60′s, perhaps 70 by next Sunday. The following week looks to have highs in the 70′s daily, maybe flirting with 80 a day or two.
 I sense a shorts and flip-flops alert ahead. :) It’s about time some warmer weather starts to show up, right? Thanks for reading, have a great Easter Sunday.

Thursday, March 28, 2013

Warm Up Continues - More Chilly Air Next Week?


Good afternoon. We have FINALLY broken out of the snowy/cloudy pattern we have been in over the past several days. In fact, you will find it hard to find any clouds in the sky today. That high sun angle took us from the mid 20′s this morning to the upper 40′s right now. Very nice day shaping up.
Tomorrow looks even warmer, but there will be added clouds with a shower chance southwest of a Bloomington to Terre Haute line tomorrow, as a system slides by to our southwest. I think the best chances of getting these showers will be closer to Vincennes and Evansville, but a few showers could make it as far north/east as Terre Haute/Bloomington.
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Now to the Easter weekend, and I have GOOD news! The weather is looking spring-like, and drier than it did a few days ago. Saturday will feature some sunshine around with a gentle southeast breeze boosting temps in the upper 50′s! It will feel great. A storm system passing by will bring some showers to the area Saturday night, lasting into Sunday morning for some areas, but dry weather is expected for everyone by Sunday afternoon. Any Easter egg hunts you may have planned should be in good shape for the most part.
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Don’t get too used to it, a strong push of chilly air is expected again through the middle of next week. Some areas may not get out of the 30′s for HIGHS by next Tuesday. A warming trend is expected for the second half of next week.
Thanks for reading, have a great evening!