Wednesday, April 25, 2012

Severe Storm Risk - Tracking More Rain Chances!

Good evening, everyone. :) 


The SPC has now included basically all of Indiana in the "heart" of the severe weather risk. Here's the set-up. The clash of two air masses! We have a huge heat ridge to our west (80s/90s) and cool air hanging on just off to the northeast. 


The severe weather risk goes up through the evening, mainly 7pm-2am. MAIN THREATS are damaging winds and large hail. My facebook page will keep you posted with the latest warnings, so if you haven't "liked" it yet, click "facebook page" at the top, and go "like" my page! 

Most areas dry out tomorrow, with partly sunny skies. Highs tomorrow will remain steady, mainly in the 60's. All in all, a decent day! 


For Friday and the weekend, that same front lifts BACK north again.. and guess what that means> more rain! However, as the front lifts close to the Ohio River, it will stall out, leaving most of Indiana downright chilly. Rain chances will ramp up late Friday, especially south of I-70, with highs in the 50's. For Saturday, much of the state will be stuck in the 50's, with 40's for HIGHS Saturday north of I-70!!! Add rainfall to that, and you've got one miserable Saturday forecast! The state finally dries out for Sunday, but a chill will remain.. yup, another chilly and not-so-nice weekend ahead. How much rain expected? Between now and early Sunday, we could see as much as 1-2" of rain.




"TRUE" SPRING FILLS U.S. NEXT WEEK: Models continue to show much of the country getting out of this extreme pattern, with all these wild temp swings. In fact, a good chunk of the country may turn above normal Tuesday and beyond. The models are in good agreement of a big warm-up next week, and this one looks to have staying power! This means 70's by next Tuesday, perhaps an 80 for the latter part of next week. Looking BEYOND next week, in the time-frame from May 3rd-May 9th, it looks to be very warm, perhaps a bit like summer around here! :) Check out the 8-14 day outlook:


8 to 14 Day Outlook - Temperature Probability

I'M SO READY!! Here in a few short weeks, I will begin to get the pool ready for summer. Speaking of summer, I am going to do some research over the next few days, and make my OWN summer outlook. It may surprise you, and no, I'm not going to copy other people's opinions. I will be looking more into our fading La Nina, which may turn into an weak El Nino, pacific ocean temps, and many other factors when making a long-range forecast. That summer outlook will be revealed on the blog next Wednesday, May 2nd!


Have a great rest of your evening, and don't forget about our severe weather risk this evening. My facebook weather page will have updates as needed. 

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