Spring-Like Afternoon - Winter Storm to POUND Kentucky this weekend!

Good afternoon! Hope everyone is enjoying their Friday. The weather is nothing short of awesome out there today. Sunshine and 50 degrees is simply great weather for February. The average high is about 41 degrees for this time of year. While we expect quiet conditions this weekend in Indy, a major snowstorm is going to slam Kentucky, late Saturday night and Sunday. I want you to take a moment and check out some of these snow totals the models are showing!

NAM:



That's no joke! 8-12" is likely for the eastern half of Kentucky, with 4-8" for the Lexington and Frankfort metros. Notice the SHARP cut-off! 50 miles can make the difference from 0" to 10"! Now we check the GFS..

GFS:



The models are in full agreement now, but Indiana gets a complete miss! :( Extreme southern Indiana (south of I-64) could pick up 1/2"-1", mainly from a Evansville to Louisville line. South of that line, (mainly south of the River) is where the bulk of the snow takes place. Keep in mind, a shift of 50 miles will have a HUGE impact on the forecast! It wouldn't take a major shift to bring snow accumulations to southern Indiana, but at this time that is not likely.

I remember a system like this last year, which was expected to take this same track. Instead at last minute, it took a sudden shift to the northwest, and brought several inches of unexpected snow to southern Indiana. I am NOT saying that will happen, just saying that it is a little to close for comfort.

This storm will be the main talk on the blog the next several days. I will be posting webcams from Kentucky as the storm nears. I expect winter storm watches to go up south of the Ohio River later today or tomorrow. Have a great rest of your day.