Wednesday, September 18, 2013

Rain Chances Increasing

Good morning everyone!  We have certainly been lucky as of late with gorgeous weather and fall-like temps, a sure turn around from last week when we had record heat.  Storm chances will be going up starting today, and increase as we end the week and begin the weekend.  Things have been VERY DRY around here for about two months now, but I think we will begin to make up for that between now and Saturday.  In fact, a widespread, soaking rain is looking likely. 

Let's get started with today.  Lots of clouds around today, and there will be showers from time to time.  Most of the rain will likely stay south of Indianapolis. Not a washout, and some areas won't see a drop. Temperatures for today are tricky. I think many areas will stay in the 70's today, but a few lower 80's are possible in areas that get a little more sun and less rain. Here's where you can track today's rain...



Tomorrow looks like the warmest day of the week with highs in the middle to upper 80's as the humidity cranks a bit. I can't rule out isolated storms, but most areas should remain dry.

It's Friday and Friday night when the storm action starts to increase big-time.  A strong storm system over southern Canada will cause a cold front to move into the area. The models have slowed the timing of the front down some, so most of the storm activity probably won't arrive until sometime Friday afternoon and especially Friday evening and night. Timing does not look good for Friday night football games across the area. I would definitely be prepared for a rainy evening. Here are a few images from the GFS showing the rainfall over the Hoosier state from Friday afternoon through Friday night.




I am getting concerned about Saturday's forecast a little bit. Some of the models cut-off the southern end of the trough, which could cause rain chances to linger through the day on Saturday. The best chance of rain on Saturday looks to be the southeastern half of the state.  I still think Sunday should be completely dry, with very pleasant temperatures. 

A gorgeous stretch of weather looks to take hold for next week with lots of sunshine and seasonal temperatures. 

FALL BEGINS AT 4:44 PM ON SUNDAY!!!! Thanks for reading the blog, have an awesome day!



Monday, September 9, 2013

Record Heat Followed By a Huge Cool-Down!!

NEAR RECORD HEAT... Officially 93° in Indianapolis today, and the heat index topped out at 100 around 4pm. We won't even see much relief overnight with lows slowly falling in the 70's. Tomorrow has real potential to tie (or even break) the record high of 95. I am forecasting 95 for Indianapolis. Keep in mind it will "feel" several degrees warmer than what you are seeing on the thermometers due to the very high levels of humidity. Heat indices will likely top out as high as 100-103 tomorrow afternoon. We can copy that forecast for Wednesday as well. I think this *could* be our last heat wave for the summer, so if you aren't digging this stuff just be patient! :)

STORM CHANCES!? We NEED RAIN!! Much of central Indiana has been stuck in this drier than normal pattern since July, and it seems relentless. A cold front approaching the area Wednesday night and Thursday will be our only hope for getting some rain. A few days ago this was looking like a good shot of decent rainfall, but the models have trended drier and drier with this system. PERHAPS .25-.50" of rain, but some areas will probably never get a drop of rain with this. 

BLAST OF CRISP - FALL AIR!! This is what we are all
waiting for, right?!! Once that cold front moves through late Thursday, we say good-bye to that heat and humidity, and hello to a true taste of FALL! Highs on Friday and Saturday could struggle to get out of the 60's in some areas, with lows falling in the 40's for a few mornings. Parts of northeast Indiana could even get down as low as the upper 30's. Talk about PERFECT weather for outdoor activities. Perfect camping and bonfire weather. :) 

Thanks for stopping by the blog. Have a great night and an awesome Tuesday! Stay cool!