SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON

Good morning! The heat out there is out of control already, and the humidity is downright oppressive. The heat index is ALREADY 106 at 11 this morning! This is very dangerous, as heat illnesses can certainly happen very quickly when you add humidity to the already scorching temperatures. Highs today will once again top the century mark, with 102 expected in Indianapolis, which will once again break a record!


JUST IN- as of this blog update, a severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for most areas north of I-70. It appears a thunderstorm complex may move across northern Indiana this afternoon. This could mean damaging winds, and heavy rain in these areas, which will be a big relief from the heat and drought. Unfortunately, this complex may not reach portions of central and southern Indiana, but I will be watching the radar closely this afternoon! 


You can track the storms as they develop by clicking the "radars" tab at the top, also, you can keep an eye on the weather across all parts of Indiana by clicking the "Indiana weather cams" tab at the top of the page!


While we don't want severe storms, let's hope for some drenching rain later today! I will update my facebook weather page as needed. Have a great afternoon-stay cool!

TODAY MAY BE THE HOTTEST IN OUR LIFETIME!

Today could be the hottest weather we will ever experience in our lifetimes. This will be the hottest weather to hit Indiana since the 1930's! Temperatures are forecasting to skyrocket in the 100's, with many areas topping out between 102-106 degrees this afternoon. The record for Indianapolis on this date is 101, and the hottest temperature ever reached in Indianapolis is 106. It's hard to believe that could be in jeopardy today!


We have an excessive heat warning in place through tomorrow evening, along with a red flag warning in effect today. This means that the combo of intense heat, dry ground, low humidity, and gusty winds will create near perfect conditions for fires to get out of control quickly. All it takes is a cigarette bud to spark a huge grass fire! You may notice that southern Indiana is not under the excessive heat warning. This does NOT mean that it will be cooler there, but they are under a different NWS office which has different criteria's that have to be met. It can be confusing, I know. Check out all the heat advisories/warnings across the midwest!

The weather pattern for tomorrow through early next week looks to remain HOT, but there will be that *chance* of some storms. In a normal summer, this pattern would be ripe for big storm complexes to move through, but with the dry ground, it may be hard to get that much moisture. This means a 20-maybe 30% chance of isolated storms each day, but this of course doesn't mean that it will rain at your house, but some areas could get some much needed downpours. #keepyourfingerscrossed


Of course, the heat will continue to be the big story, and here are some safety tips. Remember, heat is the #1 killer out of all weather extremes!

Stay cool, and have a good one!

Temps Near 100 - Heat Advisory -Air Quality Alert

The heat is building in this afternoon which will boost our highs to the lower 90's today.


If you think today is hot, just wait until the next several days! Highs will range from 100-105 degrees tomorrow afternoon! Highs will be near 100 Friday and Saturday..



Air quality will also be going down in the days to come..



Not to mention, fire danger will be VERY high this afternoon through the next few days. Some advice, if your a smoker, don't throw your cigarette buds out the window! Also, most areas are now under burning bans. Check if your county is under one here...



There may be an isolated storm or two north of I-70 Friday, then an isolated chance for everyone this weekend. However, this will bring little or no relief to the heat and drought situation. 


I see no signs of the heat letting down much over the next 7 days. The pool will be the place to be until further notice! :)


Try to stay cool!!! 

ALL-OUT HEAT WAVE MOVING IN!

Today was a perfect weather day! We had comfortable temperatures low humidity, and 100% sunny skies. At this point, it's hard to believe 100 degree heat is right around the corner. It will be a pleasant night to open the windows, and give the a/c a break, because it will be in full force starting tomorrow! Lows tonight will dip down in the upper 50's to near 60 degrees.


You will begin to feel the heat moving in tomorrow. Highs will reach or exceed 90 degrees for the afternoon high. You may think that is hot, but JUST WAIT until you see my predicted highs for the end of the week.......

This is a dangerous, long-lasting heat wave on the way that will challenge records, and cause more stress to the ongoing drought. The saving grace may be a cool front stalled to our north to trigger a couple storms later Friday through the weekend, but these will be isolated. 


Things are going to heat up in a hurry, so try your best to stay cool! 

GET READY FOR A DANGEROUS HEAT WAVE!

It was a very nice Monday across much of Indiana! With the passage of a cool front last night, cooler and dry air has been filtering into the region.

With the dry ground in place, a light breeze, and VERY low humidity values, this created the perfect set-up for a high fire danger out there. Over the past month, there have been so many individual fires that have been caused from cigarettes thrown from a car window, to a spark from a outdoor grill, and backyard bonfires that have been left unattended. In fact, I heard a story the other day about a backyard bonfire that was left unattended when they went to bed, and the fire actually caught their lawn on fire, then the fire spread right to the house. That is just an example of how dry it really is, and this is why backyard bonfires ARE NOT recommended until further notice. This dry weather will also mean that some towns may be cancelling 4th of July fireworks. 

Enough of that, let's get on the weather, which includes a massive heat wave on the way, that will likely carry us to the 4th of July. However, we will get to enjoy one more pleasant day. Tomorrow looks spectacular, with sunny skies and lower 80's. Temperatures tomorrow morning will be in the 50's. Now that's some perfect camping weather, just saying!

100+ degree temps arrive in Indiana later this week!  Wednesday, the heat begins to move in. Highs will hit the lower 90's. The core of the heat will arrive Thursday and Friday. Highs will be in the range of 98-105 degrees during this time. Those numbers are INSANELY hot for anywhere in the U.S, but yet alone Indiana. That's just unheard of around here! Yes, its common to see lots of 90's, but to get near 100 degrees on at least 2-3 days in a row is just incredible for this area. On the right is a temperature map for Friday, which shows 100 degrees for Indianapolis.  

DRIEST MONTH EVER!? If you're keeping track, we are on track for the DRIEST JUNE EVER FOR INDIANAPOLIS, and not only that, but the driest month ever recorded since records began. Believe it or not, the last time Indianapolis had a good soaking rain was May 1st. That's right, ALMOST TWO MONTHS OF NO SOAKING RAINS, in Indianapolis. Other areas have seen some hit and miss rains since then, but everyone is now dealing with the extremely dry conditions. Some parts of the state are a foot behind on rainfall since January 1st. For more on this, here is a nice write up from the NWS, about the dry and hot conditions: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=ind&storyid=84481&source=0

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY: It's either feast or famine when it comes to rainfall. Tropical storm Debby is literally not moving a certain direction right now, but more or less sitting over Florida, dumping buckets of rain over the sunshine state. Some areas have already seen a foot or so of rain, and some areas could see an additional foot to foot and a half of rain. Now that is just incredible! By time Debby "downer" moves out of Florida, some areas will have had more than 2 feet of rain. Not the week to be in Florida, that's for sure. Check out the HPC rain forecast map for the next few days. It shows up to 17" of additional rain just southeast of Tallahassee!!

Ugh, only if we could get a little of that moisture, but it looks like Debby will slowly move east in the days to come, with no rainfall from the system for us. :( That's the wrap for tonight. Thanks for checking out the blog, have a good and safe rest of your evening.

Watching Tropical Storm Debby, Expanding Heat Next Week!

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY has formed in the central gulf of Mexico as of this afternoon. It has sustained winds of 50 mph. Now the question is, where's Debby gonna go? Models are ALL OVER the place, but the NHC is forecasting a track westward, impacting southern Louisiana and much of southeast Texas.

The track however, is not certain yet by any means. Here is a spaghetti plot, or a map showing different tracks of the storm from various models. As you can tell, there is quite the bit of uncertainty!

There will be plenty of rainfall with this system, as this is a slow moving storm so far. Watch out for flooding in the days to come across the gulf coast!


Now let's talk about the forecast here at home. As much as I would love to say there is heavy rain in the forecast, there is not. If your counting, Indy has now gone 19 STRAIGHT days without a drop of rain. Isn't that just incredible!? The forecast looks to feature "more of the same" over the next week.


Hot weather will be the rule for Sunday. Highs in the lower 90's are likely. Drink plenty of water, and seek shade often! If there is good news, there is about a 20% chance of an afternoon/evening storm, with a risk of a couple severe storms north of Indianapolis tomorrow. The heat gets pushed back briefly early next week, with very pleasant temperatures expected to start the work week. However, that will change as we head into the second part of our week. The heat ridge that has produced intense hot weather across the Plains will spread eastward and expand across a good chunk of the country later next week. Nearing 90 next Wednesday, then 95-100 degrees late next week! The map below shows the progression of the heat ridge over the next week.

Thanks for stopping by my weather blog. Have a great night.

Quiet Weather Pattern

It's a typical summer day in Indiana, with sunshine and middle 80's currently. If your headed out anytime this evening, the weather looks great with temps hovering in the middle 80's through sunset.

Hot weather will be the rule for Sunday, with highs pushing the lower 90's. Can't rule out a spotty storm or two during the afternoon, but it will stay dry for most areas.

The heat however will get pushed back briefly early next week. Monday and Tuesday look beautiful with sunny skies, low humidity, and very pleasant temperatures, in the upper 70's to low/mid 80's. Low temps will also be in the low-mid 50's by Tuesday morning, can't beat that! :)

The heat makes a nice comeback for the second-half of next week. It will actually be brutally hot just to our west, with 100-110 degree highs all week portions of the Plains! That intense heat will expand into the Ohio Valley, but the most intense should stay just to our west. Still, highs in the 90's look likely by the latter part of next week. 

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY: It's official! Debby is now a tropical storm out in the central gulf as of early afternoon. Where it tracks however is very uncertain. I am so glad our vacation in Florida was this week, instead of the next week! :) Flooding rains will be a real concern along the gulf coast in the days to come.

If you haven't heard, my sister had a appendicitis, and had surgery last night here at Fort Walton Beach Medical Center. The surgery went well, and she is doing good. She should get released tomorrow, if everything goes well.

Thanks for prayers. Have a great rest of the weekend!

Cold Front Moving In - But Here's the Big Question: WILL IT RAIN???

**Happy First Full Day of Summer**

Good morning! A cold front to our west is going to move through the state later this evening, which will rescue us from the intense heat, along with a *chance* of some showers/storms. I emphasize chance, because this does not appear to be a widespread heavy rain event, unfortunately. It appears it will be a broken line of storms moving through this evening, but there will be areas that won't get a single drop. Areas that do get under a good storm could pick up .25" of rain. Again, nothing to get excited about.

The good news from this front that it will knock our temperatures back down. Highs will range from the middle and upper 80's Friday through the weekend, with a couple 90's possible again by Sunday.

Next week looks to feature a BIG cool-down! Just as the heat is trying to build back in Sunday, it will get knocked down big-time, with cool, Canadian air dominating for much of next week. How do highs in the upper 70's and low 80's sound, with night-time temps in the 50's? Certainly looks like a nice break from the a/c, and I'm sure no one will complain about that! Here's a bit of the downside, though. Despite a chance for rain Monday, there will be lots of dry weather dominating for next week, and I still don't see any signs of widespread rainfall anytime soon. Can you tell me something new? Haha!  

Check out the latest drought monitor. All of central Indiana is in a moderate drought, with a severe drought expanding across northern Indiana. Parts of southwest Indiana are either in a severe or extreme drought. The drought just keeps on getting worse and worse as the weeks go by. This pattern better break sooner than later, or I am scared to think how dry it could be by August, if we continue to see below normal rainfall. Here is the drought map:

Let's hope for at least some rain today, because I think everyone needs a good soaking! Have a great day!

HOT UNTIL THURSDAY - BIG RELIEF COMING!

Good afternoon! I am updating Indiana's weather from Florida, and it turns out I am enjoying cooler temps here in Florida than in Indiana! Here along the gulf coast, temps right now are in the middle 80's, with a steady wind off the ocean. In Indiana, temps are currently in the middle 90's! 


Tomorrow and Thursday look to be 2 more days in the 90's, but relief is in sight! A cold front will work in late Thursday, resulting in isolated to widely scattered showers or storms. But, this looks to be another set-up that won't bring widespread rain. Can't rule out a strong storm or two.


Friday through Sunday look to feature a break from the intense heat, but still above the normal highs. Temperatures during this time should range between 85-90.


Next week should feature a BIG cool-down. A trough is going to develop across the eastern U.S. as the heat gets shoved back to the southwest. In fact, several days with highs not getting out of the 70's appear more possible next week!! Now that is what I call a nice cool-down! 


Until then, stay cool and hydrated!

Weekend Storm Chance? Plenty of 90's On The Way!

Weekend Storm Chances? South winds this weekend will usher in much more tropical, humid air from the south, meaning a better chance of getting a few afternoon storms the next couple days, but don't worry, most places will stay dry. I know we are praying for rain as this has been the driest June ever so far for much of Indiana. Most yards look like burnt toast, right? :) However, where it does rain, it could pour! With slow moving storms, someone a few miles from you could get a drenching downpour, while your neighborhood doesn't get a drop. That's a typical summer-time pattern. I will say though, the latest GFS has more widespread storm development Sunday, but keep in mind the models have "overdone" precip as of late. Here is the GFS model for Sunday afternoon, showing a good deal of storms across Indiana:

Bottom Line: Don't cancel any outdoor plans this weekend. Tomorrow's storm chance doesn't look great, 10-20% coverage during peak heating. With a front trying to come down Sunday, this should enhance afternoon storms, but the day will by no means be a washout either. Storm coverage will be about 40%, mainly during the afternoon heat.


HEAT WAVE NEXT WEEK? The same front will lift north as a warm front Monday, bringing in hot, hazy and humid weather for much of next week. Unfortunately, this appears to be another stretch of dry weather, too. Interestingly, areas in northern Indiana may get hotter than southern Indiana, as that is where the core of the heat will set up. Anyway, widespread high temperatures in the range of 92-97 appear likely. Perfect pool weather! Storm chances look to return by next Friday, with a big temperature drop possible by the following weekend. 


I am off to Florida for the next week, so my blog posts will be limited. However, I will update my facebook weather page often. You can "like" it by going to the "facebook page" tab at the top. 


Hope everyone has a great Father's Day weekend!

Pleasant Temps - Dry Pattern Continues

Many areas were in hopes of getting much needed rain yesterday. Unfortunately, it just didn't happen. The rain fell to our west, south, and to the east. But a good chunk of Indiana missed out on the rain-again! Sound like a trend, yet? :)


Here is the latest drought map, (updated every Thursday). 

Moderate drought conditions continue to expand across northern and southern Indiana, with abnormally dry conditions expanding into central Indiana. Areas near Evansville are into a severe drought.


As far as the weather pattern over the next few days, it looks WONDERFUL!! Temperatures tomorrow will be even cooler, in the upper 70's, with sunny skies and LOW humidity. Temperatures will go up quickly for the end of the week and the weekend, near 90 degrees Friday through early next week. Humidity will gradually go up later this weekend as well. Unfortunately, our next rain chance won't arrive until early next week, and its a very small chance. 


That's all for now! Enjoy the nice days ahead and take care.

MUCH Needed Rain On The Way!

It was another awesome weather day across the area! Yes, it was a little hot, but the humidity has been extremely low, which is why we have seen huge temp swings from the 50's at 6am to near 90 this afternoon. 

Here is a look at the national sat/rad map. Notice there are two storm systems heading our way. 1, a storm system to our south, and 2, a cold front to our west:

These storm systems mean that big changes are about to occur in our weather. However, it does look like we should salvage most (if not all) of our Sunday before the storm system arrives.

For Sunday, clouds will thicken through the day, with a little more sun the farther north you are. It appears that areas across southern Indiana (mainly south of Vincennes/Bedford/North Vernon) have a 30% chance of seeing showers moving in after 2pm. More substantial rain and thunderstorms will move into portions of central and southern Indiana overnight Sunday into Monday.

On Monday, Showers and thunderstorms will be likely, with heavy areas of rainfall possible. However, no severe weather is expected. 

More showers and storms can be expected Monday night into early Tuesday, with the cold front knocking on our door. 

The cold front will exit the state Tuesday afternoon, with drier air bleeding in for the second half of the week. Temps will be seasonably warm, in the 80's. 

How much rain? It's a tough forecast, because areas that get training of heavy rain or storms could easily pick up 1-2" of rain, due to tons of moisture in the atmosphere. That will be a lucky few, however. Most areas will see a good 1/2"-1". While we could use more, this will definitely bring some relief to the extremely dry conditions. Here is the HPC's rainfall accumulation for the next 5 days:

By the way, this same storm system has dumped over a foot of rain just today in Pensacola, FL! Check out this insane picture...

Just insane! 

Thanks for stopping by, enjoy the rest of your evening!

Hot Weekend - Stormy Next Week?

Good morning! It's going to be another great day across Indiana! Temperatures will be on the warm side, hitting the middle 80's this afternoon. Despite that, the humidity stays comfortable during the day.

It will be perfect pool weather this weekend! Here's your weekend forecast...

A system across the southern states and a cold front to our west will bring a good chance of thunderstorms early next week. It appears the southern half of Indiana could get as much as 1" of rain during this time, with the northern parts of Indiana getting up to 1/2". Here's your 7-day outlook:

Have a great Friday!

Tracking Some Weekend Heat

Good morning. How about the weather over the past few days? Temperatures all week long have been running in the low-mid 70's, but those temps will start going up, up, up starting today.


Today will be another GREAT weather day, with sunny skies, and low humidity in place. Highs will top out between 80-82 degrees across much of the state. Make those outdoor plans!


The thermometers will continue to go up over the next few days. Highs will hit the middle 80's by tomorrow, then in the range of 88-90 for the weekend. Despite the heat, it doesn't appear that the humidity will be overly high, so at least we won't be talking about crazy heat indices like we had during Memorial Day weekend. Overnight lows will also be warmer, only dropping in the 60's.

Humidity values may spike up for Monday, as warm, juicy air is drawn up from the gulf, and a cold front moves in from the northwest. This should mean a decent chance of storms for Monday and Tuesday. This should also knock our temps back down a bit. 


Have a great Thursday!

EVENING UPDATE - NICE WEDNESDAY

It's a cool night out there, with temps already falling in the 50's. Some areas northeast of Indy may slip in the upper 40's by daybreak! Here is a look at the low temperatures tonight...

Tomorrow will be similar to today, with morning sunshine, then scattered cumulus clouds take hold during the afternoon. Temps however will be a bit warmer, in the middle to upper 70's. 


Sunshine and warming temperatures will be the rule right through the weekend. Temperatures will go from 80 Thursday, mid 80's Friday, then 86-90 Saturday-Monday. 

Have a great night!

Pleasant Temps Continue - For Now

Good morning, Indiana! Waking up to a beautiful morning, and it's going to be a great day with sunshine and highs in the middle 70's. Unbeatable for June. Here are some weather headlines....

Warm, sunny days, and cool nights will continue to be the rule through much of the week. It will gradually warm up each day, with upper 70's being the rule the next couple days, with the 80's building in by Friday. This weather will be perfect for just about any outdoor activities, whether it's hitting the lakes, hiking, doing yard work, or just chilling outside. 


This will pave the way for hot weather this weekend, as a ridge moves into the Ohio Valley. High temperatures of 85-90 appear likely, with a gradual uptick in the humidity as well.

After the weekend, it appears a stormier pattern (cross your fingers) may finally move in next week. Check out the GFS rain totals for the next week! It actually looks impressive..

Like I said (keep those fingers crossed) because we REALLY need the rain, and if we don't we will be getting into serious drought conditions later this summer. 


Thanks for stopping by the blog, make it a great day!

Tracking A Pleasant Sunday - More Cooler Temps For Next Week!

June is off and running, with temperatures these first two days of the month feeling more like April! This has caused many folks to get the jackets/sweatshirts back out! What is causing this chilly weather?

A upper-level low is spinning around to our north, which is bringing in a chilly NW flow. The reason for the clouds and isolated rain today was due to a disturbance or "spoke of energy" riding down the edge of the low pressure. You can see the big storm spinning across northern Michigan on the satellite map...

A disturbance riding along the periphery of the upper low brought plenty of clouds today, cool temps, and a few showers. A shower chance will remain in the forecast through midnight, then skies should clear out as we head towards daybreak Sunday.

Our Sunday is looking - picture perfect! We should see plenty of sunshine, and near normal temps close to 80 degrees! Not too hot, not cold, just right in my opinion. :) Make those outdoor plans for tomorrow!

Another disturbance scoots well south of Indiana late Sunday night/Monday...

I will keep a 30% chance of a stray storm/shower Monday, but count on mostly dry weather, with highs Monday ranging from the upper 70's to lower 80's.

Since there will be weak disturbances possibly moving through Tuesday/Wednesday, I will keep a chance of a spotty storm both days, however most of the time will be totally dry, with periods of sun and clouds. Highs look to only hit the middle 70's these days, and if clouds/isolated rain are more dominate than forecast, highs could stay as low as upper 60's/low 70's. Lows will also be below normal, in the 50's.

Thursday-next weekend looks like a dry period, with temps starting to go up again, thanks to a ridge expected to build in. We will go from the upper 70's next Thursday, near 80 Friday, then well in the 80's next weekend.

One thing for sure, we certainly won't be talking about temps being way above normal for the first week of June! Is this the beginning of a pattern change? Hmm. Only time will tell. I do, however, see signs of heat returning mid-month, but it's too early to make any bets yet. For now, enjoy the cooler weather, and let the a/c take a nice break!