Sunday, May 26, 2013

Memorial Day Storm Chances - Then The Heat Is On!

Just a couple sprinkles on the radar locally right now. Not

too bad out there with a few peeks of sun and current temps warming in the 60's. There is a band of rain/thunder in Illinois, BUT it is weakening as it heads into Indiana. Why? Dry air. Dewpoints in many areas are only in the 40's. If you have plans later this afternoon or anytime this evening, there will be a few scattered showers to dodge, but a good deal of dry weather as well. Just keep an eye on the radar and don't cancel your plans.

              MEMORIAL DAY UPDATE

There is still a chance of a few showers and thunderstorms in the forecast, as the warm front begins to push through the area. The highest threat for rain will be across northern Indiana. Due to the position of the warm front passing through, expect a pretty big range in temperatures. Lower 80's for highs tomorrow in southwest Indiana, while northeast Indiana is stuck in the upper 60's. Let's remember the real reason tomorrow for why we celebrate this holiday, thanks to all the brave soldiers for serving our country! 

           REST OF THE WEEK OUTLOOK
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If you love the summer warmth and humidity, you will LOVE this forecast. Highs will reach the middle to upper 80's Tuesday through next Saturday. There will be a threat for a few storms across the northern part of Indiana Tuesday, otherwise mostly sunny and dry through Friday. A chance of storms may return by next Saturday. Expect some great days to get out to the pools, with lots of sunscreen needed! The Climate Prediction Center's 6 to 10 day outlook demonstrates the strong  likelihood of above average temps in our part of the world! 

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Friday, May 17, 2013

Warmth With Showers & Storms - Latest Thoughts On Weekend Forecast

Good evening. Sorry I haven't posted a blog in a while. Today was my last day of high school, with my college courses starting on August 19th, as I begin my journey to *hopefully* become a meteorologist with a geoscience degree 4 years from right now. 

Over the past week, we have seen much of the country burst into a more typical weather pattern we would expect for this time of the year, (finally) with a HUGE increase
in severe weather numbers, after a unusual spring of very, very little in the way of severe weather. More severe weather expected over the next several days in the Plains, with a very busy weekend ahead. I'm sure plenty of storm chasers even here locally will probably try to travel out there this weekend. Take a look at the severe weather outlooks for this weekend per the SPC:



Now let's focus on our weather. First off today was actually a pretty nice day - until thunderstorms arrived. Some areas saw them hit earlier than others, and right now most of the thunderstorm activity continues across the northern half of the state. This activity gradually diminishes after sunset, but the chance for a few storms around still exists at anytime overnight, albeit a lower chance. Bottom line -- the radar will be your friend this evening. 

Saturday will be another repeat of the weather over the past couple of days. Warm, humid highs near 80, mixed clouds and sun with scattered pop-up storms mainly in the afternoon. Don't cancel outdoor plans, but have a backup plan. Areas that do see a storm could see torrential downpours, lightning, and gusty winds. Severe weather is pretty unlikely. 

Sunday looks basically DRY. A weak ridge will begin to build into the region, allowing confidence for a drier forecast. With a warm and humid air mass, can't completely rule out a stray storm, but count on a good deal of sunshine and warm to hot weather. Highs in the middle 80's likely.

It looks like we start the work week next week on a H-O-T note. The ridge will still help the atmosphere to stay capped for most of the area, with the only exception being some areas in northwest Indiana. Highs could approach the upper 80's, with 90 not out of the question for Monday. If you have already opened up your swimming pool, you are in luck!

Shower and storm chances really go up after that, with an emphasis on Tuesday and Wednesday. There could be some heavy rain totals. Late next week looks to trend drier, and right now, it looks like Memorial Weekend and Indy 500 coming up could be dry with pleasant temps. Let's hope this forecast keeps up. 

Thanks for stopping by the blog. Have a great evening.