Monday, July 23, 2012

Record Hot Again - Timing Storm Chances

Whew, it was a SCORCHER of a day! 102 officially in Indy, tying the record high of 102 in 1936. Seems like the terms "more record heat", "drought" have been very common terms  all summer long! Today was the 8th time that Indy has hit 100+. Think about that for a second. There are only four other summers in the record books that had heat similar to this year. We have been going through weeks and weeks of this unprecedented historical heat! Plenty of heat will stick around through the middle of the week!

Now that we have covered the hot part of the weather, now let's talk about storm chances, and yes, we actually have some chances! How about a early morning 'wake up call' to high winds, lightning, and torrential rains. I think this will be a good bet for areas from Indianapolis and points north/eastward. Here is my latest map with the track of these storms tonight:
There is also another chance of severe weather tomorrow, extending farther south as well. 

I will go with a 30-40% storm coverage tomorrow, with highs in the range of 91-97. Storm chances go down to 20% Wednesday, as the mercury should hit 100 for the 9th time this summer.

Storm chances really ramp up Thursday, as a front and a surface low move into the state. Severe weather looks like a decent bet with this system, so stay tuned!

Some areas will get some decent rain amounts, but most of us will not get enough to be major "drought busters." Northern Indiana picked up widespread 1-3" rains last week, and those same areas could get similar amounts yet again this week. Here is the HPC 5-day rainfall map:

I came across an interesting graphic from The Weather Channel concerning the drought, and how quickly it developed between May 15-July 17. This really gives the idea of just how much rain we SHOULD get between May and now, but how little we got this year!

Keep an eye on radar before you head out in the morning, as scattered storms are in the forecast after 2am! Have a great night, thanks for stopping by.

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