Thursday, February 27, 2014

WINTER STORM LIKELY ON SUNDAY

Good morning!  Another arctic front is pushing through the state this morning, bringing even colder air!  The wintry pattern just keeps on keeping on, and a significant winter storm is likely for the second half of the weekend.  

Today will be brutal.  We have already hit our high temperatures early this morning.  Temperatures the rest of the day will stay steady if not drop a few degrees, even with full sunshine.  That is tough to manage considering the higher sun angle in late February.  

We do have a decent rebound in temperatures over the next couple of days, well at least considering how cold today is.  Our average high for this time of year is in the middle to upper 40's!!  Even with the "warmer" numbers over the next couple of days, we will remain below average.  

There is a weak system coming in tomorrow night, that should bring light snow across the state.  Some spots could see 1", other spots may totally miss out.  

The big weather story is the major winter storm expected for the second half of the weekend into Monday.  We have seen the models come in much better agreement over the past few days.  The entire state will be on the cold sector of this system, meaning everyone will see wintry forms of precipitation for the entire event.

SUNDAY:
Overrunning precipitation will begin late Saturday night into Sunday morning.  The "main" event looks to arrive after noon-time on Sunday.  Right now, the big question is precipitation type.  I can't get too detailed until tomorrow, as we need another day for the models to really begin getting a handle on things.  I think the entire state will be cold enough for wintry forms of precipitation out of this event.  Here is the map for Sunday.  Areas near the I-70 corridor north should be all snow, with icing potential across southern Indiana.



SUNDAY NIGHT:
This looks to be when brunt of the storm will occur.  We will see heavy amounts of snow/sleet/ice depending on your location.  

MONDAY:
This is when the storm begins to move out of our area.  Precipitation will transition to all snow before moving out.  




WHAT KIND OF PRECIPITATION CAN I EXPECT FOR MY AREA AND HOW MUCH?  I made out a *preliminary* map showing my thoughts at this time.  This may change a bit over the next couple of days.  Too early to really pinpoint how much icing accumulation may occur in southern Indiana, because so many questions and factors remain.  




I will have another update later this evening.  Have a great day!  


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