Friday, February 10, 2012

8:15 RADAR UPDATE

Good morning! Latest radar indicates that flurries are falling in parts of the state. Most of the action is starting to develop in Illinois, with a few observations reporting light snow now. Here is the latest radar showing flurries northwest of the city....


Don't forget to check the radars tab at the top, and the live weather cams as well. I expect the snow to fall by 11 this morning as flurries, then picking up to a steady light/moderate snow this afternoon/evening. 1-2" is likely by late tonight.

Have a great Friday!

Thursday, February 9, 2012

SNOW UPDATE

*Mid-Evening Update* - The forecast basically still looks on track from my last post. A winter weather advisory is in effect for southern Indiana and much of Kentucky. This isn't because higher totals are expected there, it's because those counties are under a different criteria level for advisories. For Indy, the NWS only issues an advisory if at least 3" is expected. For southern Indiana, 2" can qualify for an advisory event. Here is the latest advisory outline:



The only change to the forecast, is that I think much of the state is going to have an all snow event, with a mix possible southwest of Bloomington/Terre Haute line tomorrow. The snow will begin by middle/late morning hours, and will fall steady during the afternoon and evening! Even with temperatures in the 32-34 degree range, the upper-levels will be well below freezing. Notice how much of the state stays in the blue (snow) tomorrow afternoon.




BOTTOM LINE: The snow begins after the morning commute, more likely between 11am-1pm. The snow will fall steady, but mainly light tomorrow afternoon and evening. Temperatures will be key on how much sticks! My gut tells me that once the snow begins to fall, it can cool down the atmosphere, and cause our temps to hover around 32-33 tomorrow afternoon. By the evening rush hour, a coating-1" of snow will have already fallen. As our temperatures drop throughout the evening, the snow will stick to the roads after sunset, and leftover wet roads will become icy. Roads WILL be hazardous tomorrow evening. Here is a map of expected snow totals when we wake up Saturday morning.



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Thanks for making the blog your weather source! Have a great night.



SNOW ON THE WAY!

It's amazing how much a forecast can change! The system looks colder and stronger tomorrow, which will give us a good chance of snow!

The system will move in tomorrow late morning, and snow will be falling tomorrow afternoon. Areas south of I-70, mainly south of Bloomington, will see a rain/snow mix tomorrow/ transitioning to snow tomorrow night.

-For central Indiana northward, I expect this to be an all snow event. 1" will be on the ground by 5pm, with around 2" on the ground by later in the evening.

-For southern Indiana, I expect snow to start, then transitioning to a rain/snow mix through the afternoon. You guys will see the precip. transition to all snow by early evening, with 1-2" in this area as well.

-TOTALS: I expect a widespread 1-2" across the entire state. I would not rule out an isolated 3" amount in eastern Indiana.


Keep in mind this is a developing situation, and this isn't set-in stone. Be sure to follow my facebook page for the latest updates.

Wednesday, February 8, 2012

Feeling Like Winter - Tracking Snow Showers

Good Wednesday afternoon, everyone! Hope your day is going good. It was a day that started with a little something that we have been lacking of.... SNOW! However, this did NOT put a dent in the snow drought. Many areas picked up 1/4"-1/2", depending on location. Officially .2 at the airport. Now we are seeing the chilly temps remaining! Here is a look at the current temperatures across the state:

indiana current temperature map

Also, tracking a band of *light* snow showers southwest of Indianapolis. This is NOT big deal. Areas from Martinsville to Bloomington will be impacted by this band. Roads will stay wet, perhaps a light dusting on elevated surfaces.


Outside of this band, a few flurries may fly across the state through mid-evening.

Before I go, here are some weather highlights I am tracking:

-Arctic blast still set to arrive Friday night. Snow showers are possible Friday night, but generally 1/2" or under expected.

-The weekend looks COLD! Lows this weekend may be in the lower teens, with highs mainly in the 20's, for afternoon highs.

-Things look very active next week.

For more updates on all things weather, be sure to "like" my facebook weather page! Just go to the top and click "Facebook Page".

Have a great evening, take care.

Tuesday, February 7, 2012

Mid-Evening Snow Update

Good evening! I'm sure you snow-lovers are a little happy right now! While we are talking very light snow, with a nearly snow-less winter, even a little snow makes the spotlight. Here is the latest:

Snow Latest: The forecast still looks on track from my earlier forecast. The snow will move in between 4-10 tomorrow morning, and will be a light steady snow for the morning commute. The INDOT crews are putting down brine tonight, and with temps near freezing, I would only expect slushy spots on the roads at best. Here is the latest:

It appears some areas in southern Indiana may see a period of moderate snow, and even the Indy metro should see a few hours of steady, light snow for the morning commute. Note, I circled the areas on the map depicting heavier bursts.


Snow Potential: I still like the idea of a coating to up to 1". It isn't important to look at the highest totals, but the range. Because there will be areas of moderate snow, it means if your area misses out on the heavier bursts, you will see a dusting/coating. If your area happens to get under a snow burst, up to 1" will fall in your area. I can tell you I think the best chance of picking up 1" of snow will be south of I-70, where better forcing and moisture is expected. Here is my latest snow potential map:



By the way, I did check the latest webcams out of St. Louis, and the snow has begun there. For the latest radar updates, check out my "radars" tab at the top of the page!

Thanks for checking the blog, have a great night!

Snow On The Way!

Good afternoon, everyone. While it is quiet for now, a storm system is gathering in the Plains, and will deliver light snow tonight. Here is the latest look at the radar, note the snow and rain to our west!

The system will move in after midnight, and will peak between 2am-9am. Here is the hot off the press NAM model for later tonight. It shows the snow moving in towards 3am, and I circled the areas where the model depicts moderate snow:


This is not a big storm by any means, but I'm sure snow-lovers won't mind seeing the flakes fly. Here is my snowfall map:
I expect around a half-inch to three-quarters of an inch in the Indy metro and southward, and less than 1/4" in northern Indiana. I do expect a band of heavier snow just to the southeast, as the system intensifies to our east. This means areas like Versailes, Madison, and south of Richmond could get a nice little snowfall of 1 to perhaps 2".

Again, not a big deal, but this could mean a slushy drive to work in the morning, so you may want to set your alarm a bit earlier in the morning. Timing will be key as well. I expect the brunt of this to hit during the morning rush. If your area gets under a heavier burst, totals *could* ramp up to an inch.

If anything changes, I will update.**Don't forget to follow my weather page on facebook, for rapid updates this evening** Just click the "Facebook Page" tab at the top.