Saturday, February 11, 2012

Bitter Cold - Tracking Snow Chances!

Good afternoon! What a bitter cold day! The wind chills are running in the single digits across the area, and temperatures are in the lower to middle 20's. How about our latest snow system? Well it was definately an underachiever! While we had several hours of moderate snow, the temps didn't drop until much of the precipitation was gone. These are tricky systems as 32/33 degrees can make the difference.

Now we get ready for a frigid night!! I mean seriously. Lows will dip in the single digits to low teens, with wind chills well below 0. BUNDLE UP! For your Sunday.. a little better! The winds will calm down, and sunshine will warm us near 30 degrees or so.

Now we are tracking our next snow chance late Monday into Tuesday! This one will deliver more snow than the last several systems. Unfortunately, this will be a weaker storm when it reaches Indiana, but areas west of the Mississippi River in the Plains could pick up 4-6". For Indiana, I'm expecting a widespread 1-2" snowfall. This will be a good set-up for a sticking snow, as surface temps will be cold, so all the snow will stick with this system, unlike yesterday's system. Here is the GFS showing the precip. falling as light snow Monday night.



It appears that much of this will move in around or just after the commute home Monday. I can't stress enough that I am NOT expecting a snowstorm, but enough to make things look pretty!

TOTALS: If you live in southwest Indiana, you will be the winner with this storm, as 2-3" falls there, including the cities of Evansville and Vincennes, due to heavier precipitation. As the precipitation moves east, the precipitation will become lighter. A widespread 1-2" inches expected for the majority of the state, including the Indy metro. Areas east of I-65 will see up to 1",

IMPACTS: Not a big storm, but the snow will be sticking Monday night. If you have plans later in the evening on Monday, you may have slick roads to deal with. I do expect this to be a slightly bigger snow than the last few, because the colder temperatures will allow for everything to stick on contact.

If anything changes to the forecast, I will let you know. Have a great evening, and stay warm.

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