Thursday, February 23, 2012

Warmer Air Moving In - Latest On Storm Chances And Timing

Good afternoon! We have a wide temperature spread across the region. 66 degrees in Evansville, 57 in Bloomington, 50 in Indy, and 43 in Muncie, due to clouds and showers. Some areas in far southern Indiana will approach the 70 degree mark!!! Here is the complex weather set-up:



















Severe Threat: The warm front is lifting north, with warm and muggy air surging in south of the warm front. Temperatures in western KY are surging well into the 70's! So, the atmosphere is definately getting set for the severe storms tonight. This is NOT expected to be a major storm outbreak, in fact, this is not a widespread severe chance either. Just scattered storms that could create some severe wx such as hail, damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes. The chances for severe weather remain along and south of I-70.

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Timing: Storms should begin to develop by 4pm in extreme southwest Indiana, and western Kentucky. The storms will expand quickly into Indy shortly after. Here is the RPM model timing through the evening:

4pm: A couple storms in southern Illinois.




















6pm: Scattered storms likely in Indy metro and southward. Could be some damaging wind threat with this and large hail.




















8pm: Scattered storms continue for central Indiana southward. Isolated severe.




















Severe weather chances will remain in the forecast through 10pm, then dissapating overnight, as colder air moves in.

This could be a busy next several hours. Stay tuned to the facebook page for latest updates on severe weather warnings. More updates on the blog if needed. Enjoy the mild day out there now, because storms will develop pretty soon!

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