Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Severe storms likely today!

Good morning! What a way to start a spring morning! We had heavy rain across most of the state last night, with lots of thunder and lightning south of Indianapolis, including Martinsville. Before I get all the tracking tools on here, let's talk about TIMING of the severe storms today:

9am: Scattered showers, complex of storms crossing state line.

11am: Heavy rain, severe storms possible

1pm: Pockets of downpours, scattered severe storms.

3pm: Some dry periods, iso-sct. severe storms

5pm: Scattered severe storms, heavy downpours

7pm: Scattered severe storms, squall line develops in western Illinois

9pm: Scattered severe, tracking a squall line in Illinois

11pm: Squall line moves into Indiana, lots of severe warnings likely.

1am: Severe storms still possible, east of Indianapolis

Keep in mind, there is a lot of spin in the atmosphere, so even if a severe thunderstorm warning is issued, there could be a tornado! Severe weather can happen anytime today, with the threat increasing this evening and overnight. I am going to show you all the SPC maps, and the risks for each severe element today:

Here is the tornado risk today:
SPC Day 1 1200Z Tornado Prob Outlook
Hail threat:
SPC Day 1 1200Z Hail prob outlook
Wind threat:

As you can tell, the biggest threat is the damaging winds, and second is the hail. Here is the overall risk catagory for today:

Back to right now..... there is a mean complex of storms moving through the southwestern half of Illinois, and this is heading right towards central Indiana. I wouldn't be surprised if a severe t'storm watch is issued soon. Here is the radar:

Storm track:


Total Rainfall:


Severe Warnings:

Regional Radar:


Hopefully that is a good tracking center for you today! Be sure to stay here with the blog today! Those map update by the minute, and you can track how much time before the storms enter your area, and the latest warnings on the maps above! I won't be able to update much, that is why I have all those maps up! I may try to do a live blog this evening, with minute by minute updates on the latest warnings. Have a great day, and stay safe!

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